I find it both goofy and oddly touching that the Kansas City Royals train in a city called “Surprise.” It’s a bit like Bill Clinton being from a place called Hope. Every year, I come here, get stuck in the quagmire that is suburban Phoenix traffic, eat at various chain restaurants with names like Carrabas, and every year I feel that pointless, self-destructive but undeniable feeling that the Royals really COULD surprise, you know, if twenty or two hundred things happened to go right.
This is a baseball feeling that goes way back. The Cleveland Indians of my childhood were almost equally hopeless, and yet come March I would always put together a rather lengthy list of “Things that have to go right for the Indians to win the World Series.” The list usually involved Rick Waits putting things together and Charlie Spikes finding his power stroke. Now, with the Royals, the list involves Gil Meche putting things together and Emil Brown finding his power stroke.
It’s amazing how little my life has advanced in 30 years.
This is even truer than I first realized. The Royals are managed by Buddy Bell, an old hero and a staple of my childhood Indians teams. Fred Kendall is a coach – he was on the ’77 Indians, one of my favorites. And Monday, I saw grand old Dave Garcia driving a golf cart around the Surprise complex. Garcia was the manager of the Indians for much of my childhood – he’s now 87 years old but his memory is still sharp, and he’s the greatest guy. Point is, I’m never going to escape those old Indians teams.
ANYWAY, a partial list of things that have to go right for the Royals: Gil Meche develops into a high-end pitcher, Zack Greinke finds himself, Alex Gordon steps into immediate stardom, Mark Teahen repeats 2006* but for a full season (they’re talking about him in center field now – and he looks surprisingly good out there), Octavio Dotel recaptures his 2002-2003 form (he looks fabulous now – hitting 97 on the radar gun), Ryan Shealy bangs 25 homers, Esteban German repeats 2006* but for a full season, David DeJesus stays healthy, Mike Sweeney stays healthy, one of the Luke Hudson, Odalis Perez, Brian Bannister and Jorge de la Rosa quartet becomes an above average Major League, and so on. Some of these things, I expect, might actually happen. Some obviously will not.
There’s one hope that is too ridiculous to dream even in Surprise on a warm day in March -- the hope that Angel Berroa will reemerge. I was watching Berroa play another miserable game on Monday – he’s got a .270 on-base percentage with a .314 slugging percentage this spring which means he’s picked it right up from 2006, when he managed to finish dead last in the league in both OBP and SLG. He also showed no speed and played flat-footed defense.
Speaking of flat-footed defense, there’s a great photo on the Royals MLB.com page now. It’s a story about Alex Gonzalez, and it is headlined, “Gonzalez’s passion to play has been reignited.” Beneath is a photograph of Gonzalez reaching for a ball to his left and very clearly not getting there. This is absolutely accurate. Gonzalez (this is the long-time Blue Jays shortstop) does play hard, but these days his range is roughly the circumference of Ben Affleck.
ANYWAY, watching Berroa made me remember some of the amazingly bad individual seasons I’ve had the honor of watching as a columnist in Kansas City. Berroa. Lima. Neifi. Juan Gone. Bottalico. I was thinking: Sheesh, I’ll bet five of the worst 10 seasons in the Major Leagues since I arrived in 1996 were by Royals.
So, I decided to rank the 10 worst seasons in the Major Leagues since 1996:
10. Mike Caruso, Chicago White Sox, 1999. He was very, very difficult to strike out – he led the American League in that “toughest guy to strike out” in both of his full seasons in the big leagues. The trouble was that nobody really wanted to strike him out. He had a .280 on-base percentage and .297 slugging percentage in 1999, and for a speed guy he was caught stealing more often than he was successful. Three years later, he was a Kansas City Royal.
9. Casey Fossum, Arizona, 2004. He was the key player in the deal that sent Curt Schilling to Boston. I remember a friend telling me that deal would look good for Arizona someday. Schilling led Boston to its first World Championship since Emma Susan Daugherty Bannister became the first female sheriff in the United States (I love Wikipedia). Fossum went 4-15 with a 6.65 ERA.
8. Brian Anderson, Kansas City, 2004. His overall numbers (6-12, 5.64 ERA) do not place him in the Top 10. But for one month he was awe-inspiringly awful. From April 25 to May 27 that year, he went 0-7 with an 8.27 ERA (he also gave up nine unearned runs) and the league hit .385 against him. I’ve never felt worse for a player, especially because BA is an off-the-charts good guy. I’m sure he was pitching hurt, but he never made excuses and at one point he said, “They could call up a hard-throwing guy from high school, and that guy couldn’t pitch as badly as I’m pitching. It’s impossible to pitch as badly as I'm pitching.”
7. Shawn Chacon, Colorado, 2004. Yes, he pitched a lot in thin air, but 1-9 with a 7.11 ERA and 52 walks in 63 innings still counts.
6. Scott Brosius, Oakland 1997. What a weird year. He was terrific in 1996 with Oakland – hit .300 with power. He was an All-Star with the Yankees in 1998 and was the World Series MVP. But in ’97, Brosius hit .203 with a .317 slugging percentage. What is it Joe Garagiola always says? It’s a gelastic game? A riotous game? A diverting game? What’s that word?
5. Jim Abbott, California, 1996. He went 2-18 with a 7.48 ERA. It brings me no joy to put an inspirational guy like Abbott on the list. But he went 2-18 with a 7.48 ERA.
4. Ramon Santiago, Detroit, 2003. That 2003 Tigers team was the worst I ever saw, but it was truly a team effort – there were not too many comical seasons. Mike Maroth went 9-21, but you always got the sense that he was a good pitcher in a bad situation. Franklyn German led the team with five saves, and he had a sparking 6.04 ERA, but that won’t rank him with the worst relievers of the last decade. So, the star has to be Santiago, who did not do anything particularly well other than bunt people over. He managed a .284 slugging percentage in more than 500 plate appearances, which was hard to do in 2003
3. Eric Milton, Cincinnati, 2005. Record, 8-15. ERA: 6.47. Contract: 3 years, $25.5 million.
2. Neifi Perez, Kansas City, 2002. I’ve already gone over Perez’s magical season in another blog entry – he had a 40 OPS+ that year, stole eight out of 17 bases, played horrendous defense and offered that team-first attitude that inspired him to once refuse to go into a game. One of the most amazing parts of that season is that despite all that Neifi got 585 plate appearances – the Royals either led him off or hit him second 54 games.
1. Jose Lima, Kansas City, 2005. I have suggested to Bill James that this is the worst pitching season in baseball history. Lima went 5-16 with a 6.99 ERA. Bill suggested back that you can’t overlook Pat Caraway in 1931 (10-24, 6.22 ERA, and a remarkable 101 walks compared to 55 strikeouts) or Dan Griner in 1913 (10-22, 5.08 ERA which was hard to do in the deadball era). You also don’t want to discount Abbott’s 1996 season. I still think Lima was worse. Maybe I feel that way because the Royals paid him $250,000 in incentives for that performance.
So ... I’m surprised Berroa did not make the list. The Royals only have three of my worst 10 seasons – and Brian Anderson really does not belong here. Several other pitchers – LaTroy Hawkins in 1999, Jeff Fassero that same year, Hideo Nomo in 2004, Lima from 2000, on and on – were worse than Anderson. Anyway, it’s a new year. The Royals could surprise. That’s the real point here.